GISPRI co-hosted the Seminar on the “IPCC Special Report
on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage” with Advanced Industrial
Science and Technology (AIST), on Thursday, December 22, 2005,
at the Hotel Floracion Aoyama in Tokyo.
The Carbon Capture and Storage is a series of technologies
to capture carbon dioxide emissions of large scale sources
such as power plants, and to store them in geological formation
or in oceans. The technology is recently drawing attentions
as an effective method of global warming mitigation.
In September 2005, the Plenary of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change adopted the “Special Report on Carbon Dioxide
Capture and Storage.” This seminar had presentations on the
Report by the Japanese authors and relevant experts, followed
by a discussion session between the presenters and participants.
【Presentations】
1. Masahiro Nishio (METI / AIST)
Dr. Nishio made a presentation titled “the Background and
Future of CCS”, summarizing the past history of CCS studies
in Japan, and introducing the recent trends in CCS-related
international cooperation and pilot projects.
2. Hisashi Ishitani, Professor, Keio University and Lead
Author of Chapter 1: “Introduction”
Prof. Ishitani summarized the past CCS discussions at
the IPCC, and indicated that in the IPCC Third Assessment
Report,
global efforts in climate change stepped up to the stage
of pursuing more practical and economic mitigation measures.
At the same time, the IPCC set two separate working groups
to address adaptation measures and mitigation measures,
showing the damages of global warming more apparently.
With these background, the CCS technology, which used to
be a mere part of mitigation measures, started to draw
attention. Professor Ishitani also explained important
points of CCS technologies discussed in the Chapter 1.
3. Masaki Iijima, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, and Lead
Author of Chapter 3: “Capture of CO2”
Mr. Iijima explained the “capture” part of the CCS technology
discussed in Chapter 3, and indicated that the report assumes
power plants as CCS technology application sites. Also,
he pointed out the vast regional differences in geological
storage potentials. In North America and Europe, CO2 emission
sources have geological storage potentials (acquifer) at
or near them, while there is almost no potential of geological
storage in Japan. He also pointed out the importance of
capturing CO2 from flue gas (post combustion) because most
of the current CO2 emissions come from flue gas. The cost
of CO2 capture is about 15 - 75 US$/tCO2 (net capture)
at coal or gas-fired power plants.
4. Takashi Ohsumi, Central Research Institute of Electric
Power Industry, Lead Author of Chapter 6: “Chapter 5: Geological
storage”
Dr. Ohsumi explained Chapter 5 Geological Storage, which
dominates about one fifth of the entire Special Report.
He indicated the extreme difficulty in estimating the potential
capacity of geological storage, and mentioned that the
range would be from 1.5 billion to 80 billion tons in Japan,
and 200 billion to 5.6 trillion tons in the world . Dr.
Ohsumi also stated that the Special Report explained the
current situation of CCS technologies based on the ongoing
projects in the world. He also presented some other issues
including the CO2 retention rate for geological storage
(likely to exceed 99% even after 1,000 years), risk assessment,
and legal issues (such as “London Convention” or relevant
domestic laws).
5. Yoshihisa Shirayama, Professor, Kyoto University, Lead
Author of Chapter 6: Ocean Storage
Prof. Shirayama presented Chapter 6 of the Report, and
indicated that despite today’s fairly high level of scientific
knowledge and insights about ocean storage, it is not sufficient
to warrant the safety of such storage.
6. Yasumasa Fujii, Professor, the University of Tokyo,
Lead Author of Chapter 8: Cost and Economic Potential
Prof. Fujii presented Chapter 8 of the Report, which summarized
the costs of capture, transport and storage of CO2 described
in Chapter 3 to 7. He indicated that the CCS will increase
electricity costs by 40-70% at coal power plants or natural
gas combined cycle power plants (GCC), and by 20-55% at
integrated gas combined cycle power plants (IGCC). In the
future, 20-30 % cost reduction will be possible. In terms
of transportation costs, pipeline have cost advantage for
the distance of 1200 km or shorter, while shipping will
be more advantageous in case of longer distance. The monitoring
cost of geological storage is estimated as about 0.1 to
0.3 US$/tCO2. Prof. Fujii also discussed the role of CCS
in the analysis of integrated assessment model. As a long
term measure, CCS is a favorable technology with relatively
large reduction potential and low marginal abatement cost.
On the other hand, because of the fact that more energy
(i.e. more fossil fuels) is involved to operate CCS, careful
economic consideration should be carried out.
7. Makoto Akai, Advanced Industrial Science and Technology
(AIST), Lead Author of Summary for Policymakers and Technical
Summary, Coordinating Lead Author of Chapter 6, and Contributing
Author of Chapter 8
Dr. Akai explained the background of CCS Special Report
preparation, and presented the details of the Summary for
Policymakers.
The SPM point out that CCS is an effective global warming
measure. However, as no single technology option will be
able to provide massive emission reduction, it is necessary
to have a portfolio of technologies. In addition, he introduced
other points indicated in the SPM, such as the costs of
CCS, energy requirement, possible locations of mass CO2
sources for CCS, technological potentials of CO2 reduction,
and geological retention rate of CO2 for a longer term.
After these presentations, Mr. Taka Hiraishi, Co-chair
of IPCC National GHG Inventory Programme, made comment
on the Report as well as explained the relevant provisions
of 2006 IPCC Guidlines for National GHG Inventory, which
was due in Spring 2006. At the question and answer session,
several questions were raised from the floor, such as ultra
long-term management issue (leakage), implications of CCS
for diffusion of renewable energies(with CCS adding cost
to fossil fuel use), prospects of ocean storage, public
awareness, etc., each of which were duly answered by the
presenters.
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