| GISPRI Symposium '94:"Civilization in the 21st Century and
 the Global System"
 On November 30, 1994, 
          the international symposium, "Civilization in the 21st Century 
          and the Global System," was held by the Global Industrial and Social 
          Progress Research Institute (GISPRI) at the International Conference 
          Hall of the United Nations University in Aoyama, Tokyo, with the support 
          of the Ministry of International Trade and Industry and NHK (Japan Broadcasting 
          Corporation). This symposium was planned based upon the content of work 
          of this institute's study group for "study on the framework for 
          civilizations and national states in the 21st century." The symposium 
          was held with the aim of searching for arrangements, methodology, and 
          international rules for achieving cooperation and harmony, rather than 
          conflicts, in the rapidly developing region of Asia, from the perspective 
          of thinking about a new world system in the post-Cold War period. The 
          specific focus was placed upon the world of Islam and China which are 
          likely to exert a big impact in the world, as one of the unstable elements 
          in the global system, to find approaches for cooperation and harmony 
          through discussions among researchers from both Japan and overseas. Speaking at this symposium 
          were five specialists from overseas including Gilbert Rozman (Princeton 
          University), and ten from Japan including Shozaburo Kimura (Professor 
          Emeritus, The University of Tokyo) or a total of 15 top level researchers. 
          The members are listed in the program below. With Hatsuhisa Takashima 
          (Chief Commentator of NHK) serving as the overall facilitator, speeches 
          and panel discussions with a very rich content were carried out. On this day, about 
          240 participants from the research organizations, corporations, and 
          universities connected with the GISPRI, as well as from the general 
          public, attended the symposium. To open the symposium, Senior Advisor 
          Shinji Fukukawa of GISPRI gave a greeting message on behalf of the sponsor. 
          The symposium program consisted of three parts: "The Impact of 
          Islam," "The Impact of China," and "The Role of 
          Asia," in that order. With such a rich and extensive content for 
          one-day symposium, with the speedy facilitating of Mr. Takashima (the 
          overall MC) and efforts of the speakers, the program ended roughly within 
          the set time- frame. Given the limited time, not all the opinions could 
          be fully expressed, but members of the audience gave a high evaluation 
          for the timing and content of this symposium, especially given the lack 
          of transparency in the post Cold War world. Also, the content of the 
          program was recorded and parts were broadcast on NHK's educational channel 
          in late January. Below, we will introduce the main content of the symposium. 
 Program 
          of Symposium(honorifics omitted)Overall MC: Hatsuhisa Takashima
 10:00 Opening Address:
 Shinji Fukukawa (Senior 
          Advisor, GISPRI)
 10:10 Keynote Address:
 Shozaburo Kimura (Professor Emeritus, The University of                            
          Tokyo)
 10:30 Session-I
 "Impact of Islamic Power on the Global System in the                      
          21st Century"
 ? Presenter:
 Masayuki Yamauchi (Professor, 
          The University of                            
          Tokyo)
 ? Commentator:
 Hassan Hanafi (Professor, Department 
          of Philosophy,                            
          University of Cairo)
 ? Panelists:
 Motoshige Itoh (Professor, Department 
          of Economics,                            
          The University of Tokyo)
 James Piscatori (Professor, Department 
          of International                            
          Politics, University of Wales)
 Hisashi Yoshikawa (Director for International 
          Petroleum                            
          Affairs, Agency of Natural Resources and Energy)
 12:35 Lunch Break
 13:35 Session-II
 "Impact of China, which is in transition to the socialistic                          
          market economy, on the Global System"
 ? Presenters:
 Satoshi Amako (Professor, Department 
          of International                            
          Politics and Economics, Aoyama Gakuin University)
 Gilbert Rozman (Professor, 
          Princeton University)
 ? Commentator:
 Fan Yong Ming (Director, Development 
          Research Dept.,                            
          Shanghai Pudong Development Bank)
 ? Panelists
 Nobuyuki Kaji (Professor, Department 
          of Literature,                            
          Osaka University)
 Ryuichiro Matsubara (Associate Professor, Department of                            
          Liberal Arts, The University of Tokyo)
 15:25 Coffee Break
 15:40 Session-III
 "Roles of non-Western civilizational areas, in particular                       
          the Asian region, in building the Global System"
 ? Presenters:
 Shin'ichi Kitaoka (Professor, 
          Department of Law, Rikkyo                            
          University)
 Saneh Chamarik (President, Thai 
          Local Development                            
          Institute)
 ? Commentator:
 James Piscatori (See above.)
 ? Panelists:
 Youichiro Ichioka (Chief, Editorial 
          Board, Nihon Keizai                            
          Shimbun, Inc.)
 Shinji Fukukawa (See above.)
 Gilbert Rozman (See above.)
 18:15 Concluding Remarks:
 Hatsuhisa Takashima (See above.)
 18:30 Closing Remarks:
 Katsuo Seiki (Executive Director, GISPRI)
 18:40 End of the Symposium
 
 [Keynote Address]"Civilization in the 21st Century and the Global System"
Shozaburo 
          KimuraProf. Emeritus, The University of Tokyo
 As the world moves 
          toward the 21st century, the global political and economic order is 
          likely to undergo reorganization. We are now feeling the birth pangs 
          accompanying that process. The core technologies related to iron & 
          steel, electrical power, oil, etc., that sustained the modern technical 
          civilization from the late 19th century has entered the stage of maturity, 
          and it will take another 30 years before the new core technology can 
          develop to sustain the progress in the 21st century. That is, we are 
          placed in the predicament of "a deadlock due to exhaustion of our 
          stock of wisdom." The era of modernity characterized by the spirit 
          of independence and self-reliance and faith in the future progress and 
          development, which began in the 19th century, has now come to end. On the other hand, 
          maturing of the technological civilization bring about expansion of 
          the sense of space and sense of communication. This is similar to the 
          situation 500 years ago when the adventurers such as Columbus sought 
          to escape from the closed social situation characterized by stagnant 
          agricultural technology and the end of cultivation of new lands by opening 
          up the "Era of Great Voyage and Exploration" in search of 
          new lands. With the increased interchange within regions, modern nations-states 
          were formed first as "regional federations." The situation 
          today is somewhat similar. For we are in the second era of Great Voyage 
          and the second era of regional federations. We can see such a direction 
          in the development of EU (European Union) and NAFTA (North American 
          Free Trade Association), and in Asia, too, it is likely that a third 
          federated body of states is likely to emerge in the next dozen or so 
          years, centered around ASEAN and Chinese economic zone in the southern 
          China. Underlying these developments is not only the expanded sense 
          of space that I mentioned, but also, shared "sense of ease and 
          safety" based upon having similarities in culture and religion. 
          Anxieties about how to live tomorrow creates the desire for such sense 
          of ease and safety in living today, on the part of everyone and every 
          country. So, both EU and NAFTA can be described as a "community 
          based upon sense of ease and safety" by Europeans and North Americans, 
          respectively, of largely Christian background. In the foreseeable 
          future, there is not likely to be big wars. While there is technology 
          and capital on the part of developed countries, there is not much vitality. 
          On the other hand, developing countries have vitality, but not adequate 
          technology or capital. However, since not everyone is satisfied with 
          the present situation by any means, the coming period may be described 
          as a gray era of peace with small conflicts occurring without stop. 
          Also, activation of exchanges across national boundaries means, in the 
          final analysis, that the role of cities serving as arenas for exchange 
          of people, things, information, finance and service, will increase. 
          And, it has been none other than Islam that has historically demonstrated 
          much wisdom for shared coexistence in the cities. It will be necessary 
          in the future for us to make good use of this very positive body of 
          wisdom. And the road to federations of states will mean a transition 
          to the era of cities which will capture more and more freedom and powers 
          from the states' control, without limit. In other words, we must make 
          the transition from states with closed borders to the development of 
          networks of cities that are open to the world, in order for us to realize 
          world peace. So, I would like to 
          identify these three as the defining characteristics of the global system 
          in the 21st century, namely: formation of the "regional communities 
          based upon sense of ease and safety," the era "of gray peace" 
          accompanied by regional and ethnic conflicts, and the "era of cities." Thus, the primary 
          purpose of today's discussion should focus on these three characteristic 
          features of the global system in the 21st century, and discuss how we 
          can build a large boat (the present-day version of the Noah's Ark) on 
          a global scale, in this age of uncertainty. With this, the keynote speech 
          was concluded. 
 Session-I: "Impact 
          of Islamic Power on the Global System in the 21st Century"[Summary of the 
          speech by Professor Yamauchi]  He brought out three 
          points that when we consider the impact of Islam on the global system, 
          we should confirm from the present situation. They are: 
         
           
            The phenomena 
              of revival of Islam has become salient even on the level of citizens 
              at large, and this is occurring not just in the Middle East, but 
              even inside the United States and Europe.  
            Islamism is not 
              an unitary or monolithic phenomenon, but is highly diverse with 
              varied ideas competing with one another, which has given rise to 
              instability in much of the Islamic world. And, this, in turn, is 
              being perceived as posing a threat by the West.  
            When we look at 
              the Islamic communities spread throughout the world at the present 
              time, it becomes very important to examine the trends in the phenomenon 
              of revival of Islam and Islamic movement in the post-Cold World 
              War period. Terroristic activities 
          that are seen often as a threat by the West represents only a small 
          and extremist part of the world of Islam. Having made those points, 
          he pointed out the following. In the background 
          of the Western perception of the Islamic movement as a threat, there 
          are two types of perception of the source of Islam as a de-stabilizing 
          factor. Some link Islam with energy crisis based upon the associations 
          with the Middle East oil. Others see the Islamic communities within 
          the West as a de-stabilizing factor for their own society. And so, it 
          is wrong to focus on the terrorism aspect in viewing Islam. The reason, 
          he pointed out, is that some of the Islamic terrorism is directed against 
          fellow Moslem compatriots, rather than against foreigners. This represents 
          largely an internal conflict within Islam itself. While there is some 
          resentment against Western ideas and approaches within the Islamic world, 
          the idea of different Islamic sects or factions cooperating and banding 
          together organizationally to struggle against Europe and the United 
          States is not borne out by the reality. Rather, we should turn our attention 
          more to the trends and developments among ordinary people who live in 
          the Islamic world, for, much of what they seek and want is not much 
          different from our own values, he said. If we learn from history, we 
          find that after radicalism always comes a more rational response which 
          proves to be dominant. He concluded his talk with the expectation that 
          the radical activities that we see now represent "the beginning 
          of the end." * "The beginning 
          of the end" ... The ideology of radicalism and extremism occurred 
          in the past in Japan as well. The movement to "respect the Emperor 
          and chase out the barbarians" (Son'no-joi movement) in the mid-19 
          century which brought about the Meiji Restoration was also a radical 
          movement. Later, however, the Meiji State consolidated itself, and from 
          this kind of historical currents, we can say that radicalism is often 
          a precursor for the move to stability. [Comment by Professor 
          Hanafi] In relation to the 
          talk given by Professor Yamauchi, Professor Hanafi made three points. 
         
           
            There are stereotyped 
              images* of Islam when Islam is discussed in Europe, the United States, 
              and in Japan. We must ask if these images really reflect the reality 
              of Islam. For Islam has other images as well.  * "Stereotyped 
              images"...It means commonplace, generalized images about a 
              given entity. When we think of the image of the Islamic world, there 
              is a tendency for us to define the Islamic world with a number of 
              preconceived notions, and make judgments about Islam with such notions. 
            It is not fair 
              to equate the Islamic movement with Islamic fundamentalism. The 
              mass media in Europe and the United States see just one aspect of 
              the Islamic revival, and focus on those who engage in terrorism. 
               
            It is not fair 
              to think of Islam as the enemy of the West. It certainly is not 
              the case that West alone is humanistic, idealistic, and is in possession 
              of a rational philosophy. When we look back on the past history, 
              we find that much culture was transferred from the Islamic world 
              to the West in the past, while the Islamic world learned from the 
              West in modern ages. In the future, then, we should have give and 
              take and teach and learn from one another, on an equal footing. 
              Such is the future that we look move toward. These were his three 
              comments. [Panel Discussion] 1) Mr. Yoshikawa: 
          He explained some of the background of the revolution in Iran, based 
          upon his experience while he was posted there, and then, stated that 
          in the present severe financial situation and international environment, 
          how the Islamic world will secure prosperity will be the key point in 
          the coming period. 2) Prof. Piscatori: 
          He touched on what the concerns are on the part of the West concretely, 
          and pointed to three different forms. 
         
           
            Concerns about 
              Islamic communities: In those parts of the world where Moslems are 
              a minority, there are examples such as the tragedy of Bosnia and 
              difficulties experienced by Moslems living in Western Europe, and 
              so, there is a concern that out of these experiences of oppression, 
              a common awareness is likely to be developed in opposition against 
              the West.  
            Concerns regarding 
              stability: The relationships that most Western countries have with 
              the Islamic countries are largely confined to the royal families 
              in Saudi Arabia, etc., and other elite strata, who serve, in effect, 
              to protect the Western interests, and other possibilities in the 
              area of ties are rather ambiguous. So, there is a concern as to 
              whether or not friendly ties can be maintained if and when the present 
              regimes are overturned.  
            Concerns about 
              the threat posed by Islam toward the Western values: For example, 
              despotic or authoritarian regimes exist in some Islamic countries, 
              and concerns exist that this is likely to lead to conflict with 
              the Western concept of human rights, etc. After making these 
          three points, however, he cautioned that there is much diversity and 
          pluralism within Islamic thinking as well, and neither Western thought 
          nor Islamic thought are the same as in the past, but are evolving with 
          the times. This means, he pointed out, that we need to reexamine the 
          nature of the threat once again. 3) Prof. Itoh: From 
          the standpoint of economics, social norms* play an important role for 
          the proper functioning of the economic system. Now, as the process of 
          globalization unfolds, can the Islamic world coexist with the Western 
          social norms? Should we look upon the protest against the present situation 
          which is made in the Islamic world as a part of the frictions between 
          the developing countries and the globalization of the world economy, 
          in a broad sense, or should it be seen as an unique problem of the Islamic 
          world? He posed these two questions. * "Social 
          norms"... Values-based rules for social behavior, which included 
          a broad range of situations such as the simple rule of moving forward 
          when the traffic signal is green, and stopping when the signal is red, 
          to economic rules, values and outlook related to working, etc. Generally, 
          these norms are not necessarily stipulated in norm, but actual rules 
          that are practices in each society in a customary or habitual manner. 4) Prof. Yamauchi: 
          In responding to the questions, he touched on the background of the 
          rise of Islamism, and pointed out that much of it is influenced by the 
          failure of the modernization model, or the deadlock in that process. 
          The failure of such Western-type modernization model left many problems 
          in both economic and cultural realms. In the economic realm, he pointed 
          out the following: [1] the failure in fair distribution of wealth and 
          services; [2] failure to create sufficient employment; [3] failure to 
          achieve growth on the basis of economic independence; and [4] inability 
          to secure the social cost of investment. Put another way, the development 
          model brought in from outside induced the collapse of the social system 
          which existed in the Islamic society from before, but could not provide 
          an alternative economic arrangement to take the place of the old, and 
          this fact exerted an important impact. In the cultural realm, development 
          and investment were carried out simply as Westernization and going after 
          Europe and the United States, and so, this brought about a sense of 
          cultural undermining, the sense of being victimized on the part of many 
          people in the Islamic world. The responsibility of the West regarding 
          this should of course be discussed as part of the overall discussion. 5) Prof. Hanafi: He 
          stated his understanding of the Islamic movement as a movement for reform 
          of social problems and to defend independence, and asked that we view 
          this as a movement to establish freedom and liberalism in the Islamic 
          world, rather than as a revolution. Also, it is up to Japan to select 
          its own future role, to decide whether it is going to advanced with 
          the North, or whether it seeks tie-up with the South. He maintained 
          that Japan can play the role of preventing sharp polarization in the 
          world and of moderating the U.S. view of Islam as a threat. 6) Mr. Takashima: 
          He noted through today's discussion that some of the erroneous views 
          about Islam on the part of the West may have been corrected, and a new 
          step may have been taken for thinking about the relationship anew, and 
          closed the first session. 
 Session-II: "Impact 
          of China, which is in transition to the socialistic market economy, 
          on the Global System"[Summary of the 
          speech by Professor Amako] He stated that there 
          were three significant currents in viewing the world today: 
         
           
            An universal current 
              symbolized by the ideal of the United Nations that transcend states; 
               
            Understanding 
              of the world situation in terms of the balance of power among big 
              countries; and  
            The view that 
              we cannot expect to see a new world system soon and that a chaotic 
              world will continue to exist for the foreseeable future. He expressed his view 
          that these three currents will criss-cross with one another and will 
          help to shape the world in the coming period. The way that much of the 
          world looks upon China today see both the possibilities and dangers, 
          and unless there is a big confusion, China's economic and military presence 
          will increase. And if the market economy continues to make progress, 
          then, the country will be integrated more and more into the rules and 
          the process of globalization that exist in the West; along with this, 
          China's own mode of thinking and action will decrease in relative importance, 
          and there will be a greater acceptance of the international order, he 
          pointed out. Thus, he believes that it is not correct to look upon China 
          as posing danger in an one-sided manner. China's view of the 
          international situation is characterized by the following points. 
         
           
            The basic factor 
              that determine international relations today are "states". 
               
            The basic factor 
              that determines a given state's international relationship is its 
              "total national power.  
            It views international 
              structures based upon a view of "an order led by big powers." The characteristic 
          of the approach to diplomacy which is drawn from these premises is defined 
          by a high priority given to economic development and firm maintenance 
          of independent and self-reliant diplomacy, and the orientation of becoming 
          a big power. The approach of the 
          international community toward China should be based upon the understanding 
          that the global system in the 21st century is not a balance of power 
          type system based upon a multi-polar structure; rather, it will be a 
          mutually-dependent system based upon shared sustenance, in which activities 
          in the realms of economy, culture and information will play the leading 
          role. And the international community should communicate this to China, 
          and make efforts to that end in a steady, cumulative manner. [Summary of the 
          speech by Professor Rozman] With regard to the 
          question posed in the 1st session by Prof. Itoh regarding the compatibility 
          of Islam, etc. with the globalism of the West, Professor Rozman pointed 
          out that the Western globalism is not perfect either, and the standard 
          and criteria do not lie there. Rather, we should view the West as also 
          needing improvement, and in the process of developing, itself. And all 
          the various social norms that different civilizations have are as yet 
          imperfect or incomplete from the standpoint of world integration, and 
          so, it is necessary to carry out further adaptation and change. In terms of the prospect 
          on China, he pointed out: 
         
           
            The economic growth 
              will continue, and  
            A greater acceptance 
              of the series of principles operative worldwide that are also changing 
              will occur within the process of economic growth. Then, based upon that 
          premise we can have an optimistic outlook on China over the long-term. 
          Also, China is likely to become a big power, and enter the world system 
          as a key country. On the other hand, he disagreed with the view that 
          now that the era of ideology has ended, China is shifting mainly to 
          economic needs, for he believes that the Chinese society needs a set 
          of principles. The importance of China from the Western perspective 
          is that because China is the foundation of the civilization in the East, 
          it has a distinctive role in the world. The foundation of Chinese thinking 
          is "Sinocentrism" (China as the center of the world).* And 
          a touchstone that will foretell of China's future involvement in the 
          world system is its position on Japan's membership in the U.N.'s Security 
          Council as a permanent member. What kind of position China will take 
          on this question will test China's Sinocentrism and its thinking. Also, 
          with regard to the view that the country's economy may become decentralized 
          into various regions, and the country may become split up de facto, 
          he stated that if decentralization of the economy is handled appropriately 
          with flexibility, then, China's concentrated power will be even more 
          enhanced.*. * "Sinocentricism" 
          ... The mode of thinking which holds that China is at the center of 
          the world, and that the Chinese are situated at the center of civilization, 
          and the others outside of China on the peripheral areas. In this view, 
          there is a certain hierarchy between the center and the peripheral areas, 
          and China is the central entity which works to maintain balance with 
          the surrounding countries and peoples. * Various subregional 
          economic zones that include parts of China (such as the Southern Chinese 
          economic zone that comes into being in its relation to Taiwan and ASEAN, 
          the Japan Sea economic zone that includes Japan, Korea, and Russia, 
          etc.) as one of the means. While it is not simple to manage these, if 
          China is to increase and concentrate its power, then, it is necessary 
          to achieve a good balance in each sub-region. As for Japan's role, 
          he thinks that Japan should contribute as one of the world leaders in 
          the development of global principles, rather than as the representative 
          of Asian interests. Also, both Western countries and Japan needs to 
          have an understanding of China's pride, sensitivity, tradition as well 
          as its hesitations, and proceed with the development of rules step-by-step. 
          Within this process, he thinks that WTO will assume a big role as a 
          new world organization where all the big powers will sit at the same 
          table. [Comment by Mr. 
          Fan] He started by discussing 
          the present economic situation in China. First of all, inflation has 
          become serious, and in the background for it, there is the government's 
          abolition of price controls and excessively rapid capital investment 
          in plant and equipment. Second, there is the widening gap in income 
          between regions in China, which has led to a gap of 1:20 between inland 
          and coastal areas, in extreme cases. Overall, however, he believes that 
          China will be able to continue a high pace of economic growth, provided 
          that there is no big political chaos. And, from an economic standpoint, 
          China has set two good examples: One, it is managing to make the transition 
          from a planned economy to a market economy while maintaining stability. 
          Two, it is showing a new model of economic development for a late-starting 
          big country. Also, viewed from a cultural and philosophical standpoint, 
          the strong vitality of Asian culture is being proven once more through 
          the economic progress being achieved by China. In relation to the Confucian 
          philosophy which some say lies in the background, he mentioned "mastery 
          of self," "good family management," and "peace and 
          good governance of the country". * "Self mastery," 
          "family management," "social order and peace" .... 
          "Self-mastery" means cultivating one self so as to raise one's 
          education, culture and overall quality to a higher level. "Family 
          management" means that after achieving a higher level of education, 
          one works to improve family so as to create a happy family and orderly 
          family. "Social order and peace" means that by developing 
          cultivated individuals and well-managed families, we can build social 
          stability, economy, and social progress, according to this view. Also, what people 
          have wanted from the bottom of their hearts in the past 15 years after 
          the start of the reform is a major readjustment of the relationship 
          between the individual and the collective, and between the family and 
          the society - the relationships that were severely belittled under the 
          concentration of power after the Communist Party took power. Ordinary 
          Chinese people want to recover humanity, restore a proper balance in 
          society, and build a rich country. And through the restoration of the 
          Confucian culture and Sinocentricism, and through the vitality of Asian 
          culture, the commonalty of Asia on the spiritual realm will become even 
          more enhanced. In that sense, the economic expansion of China will not 
          pose any threat to the world, but will lead to stability and prosperity 
          in the Asian and Pacific region. [Panel Discussion] 1) Prof. Kaji: 
          With regard to the present situation in China, he stated that a patient 
          suffering from high blood pressure called "inflation" is drinking 
          alcohol supplied in the form of loans from Japan, and is competing in 
          the competition called market economy; and under such circumstances, 
          there is no question but that the economy will collapse, and both Japan 
          and China should be aware of this dangerous situation. And from the 
          standpoint as a student of Confucianism, he pointed to the relationship 
          between Confucianism and agriculture, and the absence of an appropriate 
          agricultural policy at the present policy on the market economy. Solution 
          of the agricultural problems was cited as the key point for the development 
          in the future. He presented the view that in the process of globalization 
          of the economy, traditional Confucian thinking will exert an influence 
          on China as the country on the receiving end, which differed from the 
          view of Prof. Amako. In terms of the military question, because the 
          army assumes the administrative function of government over vast tracts 
          of land, disarmament is out of question. And given the purpose of today's 
          symposium, what Asia may be able to offer to the world is the thought 
          placed importance upon the family vs. the individualism that exists 
          in Europe and the United States. So, he concluded his remarks. 2) Assoc. Prof. 
          Matsubara: The economy under capitalism operates on the basis of trust, 
          and it is necessary to have a certain level of similarity in culture, 
          in order to create trust each other. Even as the economy becomes globalized, 
          it can not lead to elimination of trading blocs, because there is the 
          question of trust; rather, the world will sort itself out to a number 
          of "trust zones" and the possibility exist that economic zones 
          may be created largely on the basis of the specific civilization involved. 
          And as China becomes increasingly integrated into the world economy, 
          and its market economy develops more, is it not possible for the economy 
          to leave the control of the state, regardless of the intention of the 
          state, and move on its own? Also, if China continues to develop economically, 
          naturally, it will be confronted squarely with global environmental 
          problems; at that point, how will China respond? He posed these two 
          questions. 3) Prof. Amako: 
          As a way of responding to the questions, and also to supplement, he 
          said that in the area of agricultural problems, the local village enterprises 
          have been important in absorbing the surplus labor of farming villages, 
          but they have been stagnating recently, and so, how to absorb the surplus 
          labor can become a grave problem in the future, he added. Also, with 
          regard to the influence of the tradition, 15 years have passed since 
          the start of the reform, and people in their early 40's are the main 
          implementors, and many of these people have experienced study overseas, 
          or living abroad, and so, he believes that the traditional Confucian 
          social norms may be changing. In terms of Prof. Matsubara's question, 
          he touched on the "Study of human connections and ties" * 
          which form an important part of Chinese thinking, and this is serving 
          to push the Chinese economy forward at the present time, as well. And 
          in terms of Chinese thinking, while Chinese take a very strict stance 
          toward politics, they adopt a highly flexible approach on economic matters. 
          So, with regard to the problem of market opening, this kind of flexible 
          thinking swallow up and handle various problems in a typically Chinese 
          manner. Such is the prospect he sees. * "Study 
          of relations" ... This refers to the world of personal connections, 
          the world of human relationships and ties. This term is used to indicate 
          that without understanding the importance of these relationships, it 
          is not possible to understand the workings of the Chinese society. 4) Prof. Rozman: 
          China has the intention of paying any price to grow rapidly and to become 
          a big country, and it does not worry about other matters. And he pointed 
          out that during this period, it will hold lid on individual's rights, 
          which may give rise to tensions. When you look at China, we need to 
          pay attention to this area, he said. 5) Prof. Amako: 
          With regard to Mr. Takashima's question if the possibility of chaos 
          is rather large given the present condition (in contrast to the prerequisite 
          condition that "if there is no chaos"), Prof. Amako said that 
          the present situation is likely to continue even in the post-Deng period, 
          in all probability. As reasons for this, he cited the probability that 
          the leadership system centered around the Party will not collapse easily, 
          and, the military is likely to become more bureaucratized, and remain 
          neutral. Also, Prof. Rozman stated that if there is confusion and chaos 
          in China, the major countries in the world should cooperate to prevent 
          economic chaos and stop the outflow of refugees, given the enormous 
          impact that such development can bring to the entire world system. And 
          he stated that China is moving on the road of becoming a superpower 
          itself, and it is most aware that it cannot afford to have any losses 
          due to confusion. Mr. Fan from China mentioned the Taiwan problem as 
          one of the factors for confusion, and that a difficult situation will 
          arise if the trend for Taiwan independence becomes stronger. Still, 
          while China is faced with many difficult challenges, the factors for 
          economic development and political stability are being maintained, he 
          concluded. 
 Session-III: "Roles 
          of non-Western civilizational areas, in particular the Asian region, 
          in building the Global System[Summary of the 
          Speech by Professor Kitaoka] With regard to the 
          view that in the post-Cold War period, conflict among the world's major 
          civilizations, he pointed out the following: It is too rough and oversimplified 
          to sum-up the big picture in terms of the Western civilization vs. non-Western 
          civilizations. Because of diversification of values and cultural pluralism 
          in the Western world itself, the degree of tolerance toward other civilizations 
          is increasing rapidly. And even in non-Western civilizations, the process 
          of Westernization is proceeding as we can see in Americanization among 
          East Asian countries. Given these phenomena, he said that the civilizations 
          are coming closer together. Now, despite this, conflicts among civilizations 
          comes under much limelight, because various types of conflicts that 
          had been pressed down during the Cold War are coming to the surface 
          more today, and the contacts among the civilizations are increasing 
          even more rapidly than the growth in the level of tolerance. Thus, for 
          example, the conflicts that we can see in East Asia are conflicts between 
          the newly rising economic powers and the existing powers, and such conflicts 
          were seen between Japan and the West and between Britain and Germany 
          within Western Europe (in the late 19th and early 20th century). What 
          can be learned from this is that the developed countries should not 
          press down the challenge posed by the late-comers unfairly, while the 
          late-comers should not be wedded to maintenance of their traditional 
          values and political system in a rigid manner. Japan and other countries 
          of East Asia developed mainly through trade while maintaining only modest 
          military power, and these countries can provide a model for economic 
          rules in the world, and can develop a new framework in the form of drawing 
          both the United States and China into their framework, and it is here 
          that Japan can make a big contribution. [Summary of the speech 
          by Director Chamarik] He started by saying 
          that his talk may represent somewhat of an antithesis of what has been 
          discussed so far about economic growth and the framework for that, and 
          so forth. For he would like to consider matters from the standpoint 
          of ordinary persons who have been pushed to the periphery due to modernization. 
          First, if we look upon the problems that are being discussed here as 
          reactions of the Third World people against what has been pressed upon 
          them under the name of freedom and democracy, then, the problems may 
          become easier to understand. That is, thought itself is a reflection 
          of one's state of knowledge and world view, it can hardly, if ever at 
          all, be neutral and value-free. It always serves a particular socio-economic 
          system, or represents the interest of such a system; it is all man-made, 
          and so, the question is how human beings make their choices about this. 
          In this sense, the theories of science and economics developed in the 
          West in the modern period cannot be called a matter of course; they 
          need to be reexamined and evaluated anew.. In the 21st century, 
          the world is likely to see economic blocks, and Asia is likely to be 
          one of the poles. However, he said that we need to really examine what 
          exist behind economic growth, and touched on the situation where poverty 
          is expanding rapidly in 114 developing countries as an outcome of economic 
          development. The current style and pattern of development we have been 
          undergoing derives its roots solely from the distorted scientific and 
          industrial culture of the West, and it is based upon three mistaken 
          hypotheses, he held. First of all, there is the dogma that human beings 
          dominate over nature. Secondly, there is the Darwinian theory of evolution 
          based upon the "survival of the fittest." Thirdly, there is 
          an erroneous view of progress which affirmed human dominance over nature 
          as being good, and representing progress. * To put this outlook 
          in terms of economic position, it may lead to the view that the richest 
          countries, and the people are the fittest and that there is a definite 
          value in their survival. And the economically weak ones are on a lower 
          order; they may have to obey, etc. From such thinking, we can end up 
          with a logic which legalizes dominance of nature and of weaker persons 
          and entities, and justifies such dominance. We must know that 
          there are such gaps and shortcomings in human knowledge and world outlooks, 
          and what is truly demanded of us now, is a spiritual prospect which 
          can liberate our spirit, and save us from the present predicament. From 
          this standpoint, Asia as rich and diverse religious traditions, which 
          he believes can contribute to the emergence of a new world outlook in 
          the coming period. [Comment by Prof. 
          Piscatori] There are three scenarios 
          regarding coexistence of civilizations from the results of the discussion: 
          One, that there will be divergence among the civilizations leading to 
          intensified conflicts. Two, that the civilizations will increasingly 
          come together or "converge." And three, that there is a possibility 
          for the civilizations to achieve harmony. As we seek to move on the 
          third path of reconciliation, it is important for us to take up the 
          three values of "Consensus," "Community," and "Social 
          Justice" as things that are common to the major civilizations. 
          He held that we need to take this approach mutually, and that it is 
          the task of the intellectual to assume this role. [Panel Discussion] 1) Mr. Ichioka: 
          We should take the level of economic development into consideration 
          when we think about human rights, and in poor countries, upgrading the 
          economic level is part of the fundamental human right. And in Asia, 
          there is a characteristic of valuing joint work even more than competition, 
          harmony rather than conflict, and of valuing long-term human relationships. 
          And, he believes that this quality will contribute to the world. 2) Mr. Fukukawa: 
          Throughout the debate and discussion, he feels that a number of values 
          came out as we consider the 21st century, namely, the need to establish 
          a new globalism, a new humanism, and a new industrialism. And in seeking 
          for these three, we may see the emergence of a new global system. Also, 
          in terms of the contribution of East Asia, we should look at both the 
          aspect of growth and that of limitations as we think about how to live 
          in the future years. In this context, it is vital for Japan to consider 
          not only its national security and market opening, but also to take 
          the stance of thinking about the problems from the common stance with 
          other Asian countries. 3) Prof. Rozman: 
          Those persons who believe in globalism are waging various struggles 
          in their respective countries, but their efforts are not going well 
          in many areas in the recent period. In the background of this situation, 
          there is the desire on the part of people who want to affirm the meaning 
          of the international identity more clearly, and this constitutes a certain 
          resistance. Also, even if we accept that the world trade is broadening 
          to a certain extent, the force that want to protect their own cultural 
          values is not to be belittled, and it is not at all easy to overcome 
          this, according to his view. 4) Prof. Kitaoka: 
          The rules for the environment and economic competition must be global 
          in scope. Rather than thinking that all civilizations are equal in value 
          or thinking about which is more correct, etc., we must change the global 
          system so that we can ascertain whether a given matter is legal or illegal. 
          This is necessary in the present situation when the earth has become 
          smaller, he said. Looking forward to 50 years ahead, the prospect for 
          the earth in terms of limitations on natural resources and population 
          are rather severe, and in that sense, too, it is necessary to step up 
          the work toward global rule-making. 5) Mr. Chamarik: 
          Harmony among civilizations cannot be achieved in some automatic manner, 
          and everything is dependent upon the choices that human beings make. 
          And this is a point that he wanted to make in the speech, he added. 
          And what is important is that we need to reexamine what we consider 
          to be our own knowledge and wisdom. Free trade is only one aspect of 
          the overall system, and when we consider the image of the global system, 
          we must not forget that there will be exchanges among various local 
          community levels, on the grass-roots level, as well as among global 
          organizations. 6) Prof. Piscatori: 
          After acknowledging the difficulties of achieving harmony among the 
          civilizations, he cited the example of the problem of immigrants. The 
          fact that Moslems immigrated to Europe served to make the social situation 
          in the receiving countries such as Britain and France more complex. 
          However, through that, it brought about new intellectual and cultural 
          debates, and contributed to the progress of such discussions, in the 
          final analysis. While immigrants bring on new tensions, they serve to 
          promote a new relationship, on the other hand. 7) Prof. Kimura: 
          Hearing the discussion, one question that keeps on coming up in his 
          mind is whether or not Japan has neighbors who are real friends; he 
          pointed out the need for us to grasp Japan again within the context 
          of the large Asian cultural zone. He said that throughout the discussion 
          today, he felt that we should build a system where we can learn from 
          one another based upon the awareness that all countries and peoples 
          in the world are standing on the same line, in the final analysis, and 
          this effort must be pushed forward more actively in the future. 8) Mr. Takashima: 
          He cited the phrase "unity within diversity," which was used 
          often in the earlier ASEAN Conference and the APEC conference that took 
          place later, and stated his belief that it is possible for such phrase 
          to spread from ASEAN to the entire Pacific region, then to the whole 
          world, in some form, and that he has a rather optimistic impression 
          about the prospect. He commented that there is a need for us to dare 
          to be optimistic. And as two points that remained in his impression, 
          he mentioned the erroneous or one-sided images that exist about the 
          Islamic world, and the failure of the development support policies adopted 
          by the West. By overcoming these shortcomings, and by wiping off the 
          mistaken notions and discovering new forms and images, we may be able 
          to build a foundation for the 21st century. With this, he concluded 
          the discussion that was carried out for many hours. [Please Note]This summary was drawn up by this institute on the basis of the stenographic 
          minutes of the proceedings of that day, and we did not check with the 
          speakers about the content, etc. Therefore, we would like to correct 
          any errors that are made in interpretations of the content, etc., in 
          a later issue of the GISPRI.
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