GISPRI
No. 18, 2000
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1999 Research Outcome
A way of education and human resource development in global competition
age
Human resource used to be the "only resource" in Japan, but the level
of education in Japan has rapidly deteriorated, and Japan is about
to lose its "only resources." In the recent situations of highly advanced
technology and globalization, it is necessary for this country to
provide education better than other countries, and regain its "educational
ability" as soon as possible.
The report of this research committee described the current situation
on the reduction of students' learning ability mainly in the mathematics
and natural science subjects seen in Japanese universities and colleges,
and warned on the loss of abilities for "logical thinking" and "motivation
to learn."
The main factors for the deterioration of learning abilities are:
significant decreases in the number of school hours on major subjects
in elementary schools, junior high schools, and high schools, due
to "educational restructuring" implemented since the revision of lesson
guidance manual in 1982; and reduction in the number of college entrance
examination subjects.
In order to improve education in Japan, the committee proposed the
following six items:
(1) Focus on the education in mathematics, in order to develop logical
thinking ability
(2) Implement smaller classes (about 20 students per teacher) in order
to nurture self-thinking ability and to enhance deeper human relationships.
(3) Discourage further decrease in the number of college entrance
examination subjects.
(4) Cancel further 30% reduction in the contents and class hours of
education from 2002 proposed by the new lesson guidance manual.
(5) Recognize the entrance examination center tests as the tests to
qualify for college entrances.
Start the education in conversational English from the first to third
graders in elementary schools.
Educn.pdf
The harmonization between environmental conservation and growth
Their report summary was as follows:
Chapter 1
What was decided in the Kyoto Protocol?
Mr. Tsutomu Toichi (Director, Japan Institute on Energy and Economics)
proposed the use of market-oriented instruments for Japan to comply
with the target set in the Kyoto Protocol.
Chapter 2
Discussion on Kyoto Mechanisms
Prof. Mitsutsune Yamaguchi (Economics Professor, Keio University)
clarified various discussions in the recent international negotiation
on Kyoto Mechanisms (such as supplementarity, responsibility, baseline,
etc.) Regarding the supplementarity issue, Prof. Tatsuyoshi Saijo
(Professor at the Socio-Economic Research Institute of Osaka University)
analyzed in economic theory that the supplementarity could be defined
as the one to promote national emission reduction in each country
and to have a role to control the issue of "hot air." Prof. Kazuharu
Kiyono (Professor of Politics and Economics College of Waseda University)
also made economic theory analysis on the effects of international
emission trading market on international trade and industrial structure.
Chapter 3
Issues of designing systems for global warming mitigation
Prof. Koutarou Suzumura (Professor of Economic Research Institute,
Hitotsubashi University) and Prof. Hirokazu Tadenuma (Economics Professors,
Hitotsubashi University) discussed the global warming issues as the
issue of inter-generational welfare distribution for extra long term.
Prof. Yoshitsugu Kanemoto (Economics Research Professor at the Graduate
School of the University of Tokyo) discussed the possibility of carbon
tax introduction as a global warming mitigation measure in the transport
sector of Japan. Prof. Masahiro Kuroda (Professor of Commerce Faculty,
Keio University) proposed from the result of simulation analysis using
general equilibrium model an actual system design for national measures
in Japan to introduce carbon tax and emission trading.
Chapter 4
Direction of Technological Development
Prof. Kenji Yamaji (Professor at the Engineering Research Institute,
Graduate College, the University of Tokyo) assessed various global
warming mitigation technologies and suggested the need to combine
multiple number of measures from long-term and global prospects, including
energy savings, utilization of various natural renewable energies,
nuclear power, and CO2 recovery and processing technologies.
Final Section
How to address global warming mitigation
Prof. Masahiro Okuno (Economics Professor at the University of Tokyo)
summarized the research works and pointed out that the global environmental
issues are the question of fundamentals in economics and not the issues
of externality or public resources.
International cooperation on environment and development for China
The China Council established by the Chinese Government in April of
1992 is a high-level council organization and aims to support China
in resolving various environmental and development issues through
international cooperation. GISPRI has contributed, along with the
dispatching of experts to its plenary sessions, to its Working Group
activities through the dispatching of experts to the Cleaner Production
Working Group under its eight Working Groups and one Task Force. In
particular, the Committee conducted a survey and study on the policies
and legal systems related to "sustainable development" and "environmental
conservation" in Tai Yuan City of Xiang Xien Province. Based on the
research result, GISPRI held a Workshop and the Working Group meeting
in September of 1999.
The plenary meeting (held once a year) of October, 1999, in Beijing
indicated the issues to be addressed under the 10th five-year plan
of Chinese Government, and discussed the project proposals including
those to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. After council member discussion,
the final proposal was adopted and reported the policy proposals for
the Chinese Government (Prime Minister). New themes selected for the
year 2000 included the nurturing of national environmental conservation
industry, and the Council planned to conduct a survey and study on
the forestry and grassland preservation during the Big Development
Program of Western China, in response to the Chinese Government's
announcement on regional development programs for Western China.
As mentioned above, the China Council is considered as an institute
providing the best opportunity to grasp a fundamental policy and ongoing
measures of the Chinese Government for the sustainable development
and environmental protection.
Furthermore, China Council may offer benefits in developing environmental
cooperation with China for the future and in providing new business
opportunities for private entities, by utilizing information earned
through its plenary meeting, and a series of meetings such as Working
Group meetings. The Japanese side efforts to support the China Council
activities receive high evaluation by Chinese side and the continuance
of intellectual and financial contribution for their activities are
anticipated.
Re-Examination of Globalization and Global-Governance
The concept of global governance is more comprehensive than the concept
of international regimes. Human rights and democracy are seen as major
values/goals for people in the global governance system. The decentralized
structure is another characteristics of the global governance system.
The term global governance had become very popular in the 1990s for
the following reasons.
First, the end of Cold War demanded a creation of a new world order.
Second, American scholars of international relations were asked to
propose a theory which legitimate the American-led world order.
Third, the globalization of economy demanded a new political order
which would deal with the problems caused by globalization.
Major issues discussed in the meeting were as follows.
First, what is the relationship between globalization and global governance?
The global governance system is generally seen as a system to deal
with global market failures and externalities.
At the same time, the global governance system may work as a market-friendly
system; the global governance provides rules for stimulating the market
mechanism.
Second, what is the American strategy in creating and managing the
global governance system? The US did not insist on the necessity of
global governance system in the issue-area where the US is at an advantage.
However, the US demanded a formulation of the global governance system
where the US failed to establish a set of rules by the market mechanism.
Third, is the concept of global governance effective in analyzing
the real situation of globalization?
We concluded that it depends on the externality, the variety of actors,
and the complexity of individual issue-areas.
GlobGov.pdf
Project to promote international cooperation for global environment
/ Research on the assessment of climate change effects
The subject of this research work was consigned by the New Energy
and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO).
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) set three Working
Groups for the integration of the Third Assessment Report (to be completed
in 2001).
GISPRI is supporting the preparation of the Third Assessment Report
through the cooperation to the Working Group 3 for energy policies
and technological development.
The purpose of this survey for the fiscal 1999 was to assess the climate
change mitigation policies from the viewpoints of science and technology,
environment, and socio-economics.
The survey was conducted by:
(1) Reviewing the cost assessment methodologies to evaluate various
measures and technologies for global warming mitigation.
(2) Analyzing and surveying tasks and resolutions to further promote
technology transfers worldwide.
(3) Examining actual policy options as the policies and measures to
prevent global warming.
The results were as follows:
(1) Development of cost-analysis methodologies
The cost analysis of technologies and options for global warming mitigation
requires scientific methodology that is common in the world. Because
of this, the studies on cost assessment methods, global warming control,
and other benefits were conducted.
Important elements of cost assessment are baselines and the external
effects of climate change. To assess externalities, various methods
were developed and utilized but the cost assessment of climate change
mitigation measures embrace large uncertainties and it is also important
to classify the level of these uncertainties.
(2) Tasks and resolutions for technology transfer issues
In order to promote technology transfers, which have not been functioned
to the expected level, we analyzed its tasks and reviewed possible
solutions.
The conclusion was that the transfer of so-called "environmentally
suitable technologies (EST) would be valuable and significant in creating
an favorable environment for technology transfers, and present a possibility
of dissemination in host countries. The promotion of such transfers,
however, has been hampered by the risks involved (such as distorted
incentives, insufficient legal protection, inappropriate regulations,
etc.). Therefore, the governments need to consider increasing the
demand for ESTs through technology development promotion, cost decrease,
and the reduction of commercial risks.
(3) Assessment of various policy options
We reviewed actual policy options as the policies and measures for
global warming mitigation.
The result showed that it would be more practical to develop a portfolio
of policies and measures in order to address multiple policy objectives.
So that, it would be necessary to determine various policy objectives
and to properly combine various policies and measures in order to
fulfill such objectives. For this, it would be essential to fully
grasp "characteristics" of each policy and measure in a "real world."
In this survey, we studied various issues of carbon tax and emission
trading as the economic instruments for national policies and measures.
Thinking Japan in Asia(Phase 2)
In this research, the committee confirmed the regional order of "East
Asia," ranging from Japan, Korea, Taiwan, coastal provinces of China,
and South East Asia, and Japan's position in such an order, in view
of the progress of regionalization in World governance, symbolized
by the formation of EU, NAFTA, and MERCOSUR. The Committee further
discussed the future direction and strategy for Japan. The fundamental
postures of Japan should be: (1) to consider Japan in Asia, while
viewing Japan in the world; (2) to consider Japan's national interests
as the first priority, but contemplate on "the harmonized co-existence
in Asia" and ensure common benefits between Japan and other countries
in the region to aim for mutual coexistence and prosperity on equal
terms; and (3) it is possible and preferable for Japan to promote
development of regional countries by leading the way in economics
and technologies, as it is extremely important for the region to have
some leaders, though not necessarily centering around Japan. In addition
to its maintenance of mutual relationships with Asian countries, Japan
needs to reform within itself. The reformation issues include:
(1) Japan should be more open for goods, service and labour from Asia.
In this sense, acceleration of deregulation is needed so that Japan
will be more attractive for Asian neighbours.
(2) What Japan is expected to do is to lead the region by utilizing
it's economic might and "soft power" such as technology and know -how
in industrial development and management system.
(3) Reform the policy-making processes, and respond immediately to
any changes in economic or international environment through quick
decision-making and policy changes.
To actualize above reformation requires strong political will of Japanese
people. With visions and political will, it is possible to take actions
that conform to the prospect for the future. In the issue of "Japan
in Asia," its outcome will depend on how Japanese people can have
vision and political will.
Shira.pdf
The Comprehensive Prospect of Asia
The 21st Century will certainly find the increased importance of Asia
in the world, but this will not necessarily mean equal and smooth
development throughout the area. Internally, the remnant of dictatorship
still remains, and externally, the global conditions are severer and
more restrictive in terms of environment, resource utilization and
population control than the time when western world and Japan built
the basis of their development. Furthermore, the region still embraces
the seeds of unpredictable trans-border confronta-tions such as in
Taiwan and Korean peninsula. In the future, Asia will likely change
depending on the overall interactions of these domestic and international
factors. GISPRI established this research committee, led by Prof.
Satoshi Amako (Aoyama Gakuin University) for the purpose of comprehensive
projections on Asia's next quarter century and conducted a six-month
study on the subject, which resulted in the publication of a report
(in Japanese) in May of 2000. The report was consisted of the following
subjects: Changes in Asian political regimes and the prospect for
the first quarter of 21st century, the USA-Japan security relationships
and the direction of Asian order, from People's Republic to federal
system in China, prospect of Indian economic development for the 21st
Century, "will Asian middle income people be able to promote democratization
in the next quarter century?", problems and prospects of Asian economy,
future of establishing multi-level regime in Asia, unstable Taiwan
Strait and Japan, prospect of unification and security issues of Korean
Peninsula, future security system in Asia-Pacific region, and idiosyncrasy
and prospects of environmental problems in Asia.
The changes in Southeast Asian political and economic regimes and
the potentials of regional cooperation including Japan
This research is to assess the changes of Southeast Asian countries
after the Asian financial crisis of 1997 and to position the involvement
of Japan in South Asia from a broader scope of international community
relationships. The committee analyzed, viewing the crisis as "catalysts",
how Southeast Asian structures and trends were affected and shaken
throughout the 1990's and how various participants, actors, and stakeholders
in the public and private sectors of Southeast Asian countries acted
and responded such changes.
Fundamental recognition presented before the discussion was that Japan's
economic aids to Southeast Asia were viewed as a strategy in the multi-level
structures of Asia-Pacific politics including USA, and that the region
faced new globalization trend through the establishment of ASEAN 10,
which, in turn, required the changes in each country itself.
The committee analyzed and assessed what kind of changes three major
ASEAN countries of Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand sustained in their
political and economic structures, which restructuring measures were
adopted and what were the purposes of such measures, based on the
data obtained by detailed survey of each country. The research clarified
the future national political issues faced by these three countries,
especially Indonesia.
In addition, the research indicated that Japan's participation in
peace-keeping aids for Cambodia and development aids to three Indochina
countries promoted the multi-lateral political and security talks
in the region and improved bilateral relationship between Vietnam
and Japan. It also pointed out that it would be necessary to attain
an appropriate balance between Thailand, which wished to strengthen
influences over Indochina, and Vietnam, which would like to evade
such influences, in the cooperation project of Mekong River development.
ASEAN.pdf
21st Century's development strategy
This committee was established to advance from the conclusion of "2050
Sustainability Research Committee" (completed in fiscal 1997), which
pointed out that "the greatest problem for the 21st Century would
be the issue of equity." The Committee Chair is Prof. Kei Takeuchi,
President of International Faculty, Meiji Gakuin University, and completed
its study after two years of research starting from fiscal 1997 and
summarized the conclusion into the research report.
The scope of the research was on Asia in early 21st Century (Thailand,
Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, etc.) and aimed to introduce what
kind of aids and roles Japan can provide as developed country in the
region in order to mitigate social problems and to bring prosperous
civil society in these countries. In its first year of fiscal 1998,
the Committee focused on the summarization of Asia's economic development
and economic crisis, social welfare issues in developing countries,
and index on these factors. In fiscal 1999, the Committee further
focused on the equity issues by addressing on the course of economic
development, agricultural issues, the system of development aids,
international finances, international cooperation, etc., from various
points of views.
Furthermore, the research included the actual case studies on the
citizen-participating type poverty alleviation efforts in developing
countries in order to pursue the essence of poverty issues, considering
the doubts arisen among international organizations that conventional
development aids might not truly be instrumental for poverty alleviation.
The result of the survey was assessed with the connections to various
poverty alleviation strategies. The Committee planned to publish these
case studies on the web site of CITYNET to help policymakings of poverty
alleviation at various city governments and NGOs.
case studies list
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