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 GISPRI 
            No. 18, 2000
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      | 1999 Research Outcome
 A way of education and human resource development in global competition 
            age
 
 Human resource used to be the "only resource" in Japan, but the level 
            of education in Japan has rapidly deteriorated, and Japan is about 
            to lose its "only resources." In the recent situations of highly advanced 
            technology and globalization, it is necessary for this country to 
            provide education better than other countries, and regain its "educational 
            ability" as soon as possible.
 The report of this research committee described the current situation 
            on the reduction of students' learning ability mainly in the mathematics 
            and natural science subjects seen in Japanese universities and colleges, 
            and warned on the loss of abilities for "logical thinking" and "motivation 
            to learn."
 The main factors for the deterioration of learning abilities are: 
            significant decreases in the number of school hours on major subjects 
            in elementary schools, junior high schools, and high schools, due 
            to "educational restructuring" implemented since the revision of lesson 
            guidance manual in 1982; and reduction in the number of college entrance 
            examination subjects.
 In order to improve education in Japan, the committee proposed the 
            following six items:
 
 (1) Focus on the education in mathematics, in order to develop logical 
            thinking ability
 (2) Implement smaller classes (about 20 students per teacher) in order 
            to nurture self-thinking ability and to enhance deeper human relationships.
 (3) Discourage further decrease in the number of college entrance 
            examination subjects.
 (4) Cancel further 30% reduction in the contents and class hours of 
            education from 2002 proposed by the new lesson guidance manual.
 (5) Recognize the entrance examination center tests as the tests to 
            qualify for college entrances.
 Start the education in conversational English from the first to third 
            graders in elementary schools.
 
 
  Educn.pdf 
 The harmonization between environmental conservation and growth
 
 Their report summary was as follows:
 
 Chapter 1
 
 What was decided in the Kyoto Protocol?
 Mr. Tsutomu Toichi (Director, Japan Institute on Energy and Economics) 
            proposed the use of market-oriented instruments for Japan to comply 
            with the target set in the Kyoto Protocol.
 
 Chapter 2
 
 Discussion on Kyoto Mechanisms
 Prof. Mitsutsune Yamaguchi (Economics Professor, Keio University) 
            clarified various discussions in the recent international negotiation 
            on Kyoto Mechanisms (such as supplementarity, responsibility, baseline, 
            etc.) Regarding the supplementarity issue, Prof. Tatsuyoshi Saijo 
            (Professor at the Socio-Economic Research Institute of Osaka University) 
            analyzed in economic theory that the supplementarity could be defined 
            as the one to promote national emission reduction in each country 
            and to have a role to control the issue of "hot air." Prof. Kazuharu 
            Kiyono (Professor of Politics and Economics College of Waseda University) 
            also made economic theory analysis on the effects of international 
            emission trading market on international trade and industrial structure.
 
 Chapter 3
 
 Issues of designing systems for global warming mitigation
 Prof. Koutarou Suzumura (Professor of Economic Research Institute, 
            Hitotsubashi University) and Prof. Hirokazu Tadenuma (Economics Professors, 
            Hitotsubashi University) discussed the global warming issues as the 
            issue of inter-generational welfare distribution for extra long term. 
            Prof. Yoshitsugu Kanemoto (Economics Research Professor at the Graduate 
            School of the University of Tokyo) discussed the possibility of carbon 
            tax introduction as a global warming mitigation measure in the transport 
            sector of Japan. Prof. Masahiro Kuroda (Professor of Commerce Faculty, 
            Keio University) proposed from the result of simulation analysis using 
            general equilibrium model an actual system design for national measures 
            in Japan to introduce carbon tax and emission trading.
 
 Chapter 4
 
 Direction of Technological Development
 Prof. Kenji Yamaji (Professor at the Engineering Research Institute, 
            Graduate College, the University of Tokyo) assessed various global 
            warming mitigation technologies and suggested the need to combine 
            multiple number of measures from long-term and global prospects, including 
            energy savings, utilization of various natural renewable energies, 
            nuclear power, and CO2 recovery and processing technologies.
 
 Final Section
 
 How to address global warming mitigation
 Prof. Masahiro Okuno (Economics Professor at the University of Tokyo) 
            summarized the research works and pointed out that the global environmental 
            issues are the question of fundamentals in economics and not the issues 
            of externality or public resources.
 
 International cooperation on environment and development for China
 
 The China Council established by the Chinese Government in April of 
            1992 is a high-level council organization and aims to support China 
            in resolving various environmental and development issues through 
            international cooperation. GISPRI has contributed, along with the 
            dispatching of experts to its plenary sessions, to its Working Group 
            activities through the dispatching of experts to the Cleaner Production 
            Working Group under its eight Working Groups and one Task Force. In 
            particular, the Committee conducted a survey and study on the policies 
            and legal systems related to "sustainable development" and "environmental 
            conservation" in Tai Yuan City of Xiang Xien Province. Based on the 
            research result, GISPRI held a Workshop and the Working Group meeting 
            in September of 1999.
 The plenary meeting (held once a year) of October, 1999, in Beijing 
            indicated the issues to be addressed under the 10th five-year plan 
            of Chinese Government, and discussed the project proposals including 
            those to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. After council member discussion, 
            the final proposal was adopted and reported the policy proposals for 
            the Chinese Government (Prime Minister). New themes selected for the 
            year 2000 included the nurturing of national environmental conservation 
            industry, and the Council planned to conduct a survey and study on 
            the forestry and grassland preservation during the Big Development 
            Program of Western China, in response to the Chinese Government's 
            announcement on regional development programs for Western China.
 As mentioned above, the China Council is considered as an institute 
            providing the best opportunity to grasp a fundamental policy and ongoing 
            measures of the Chinese Government for the sustainable development 
            and environmental protection.
 Furthermore, China Council may offer benefits in developing environmental 
            cooperation with China for the future and in providing new business 
            opportunities for private entities, by utilizing information earned 
            through its plenary meeting, and a series of meetings such as Working 
            Group meetings. The Japanese side efforts to support the China Council 
            activities receive high evaluation by Chinese side and the continuance 
            of intellectual and financial contribution for their activities are 
            anticipated.
 
 Re-Examination of Globalization and Global-Governance
 
 The concept of global governance is more comprehensive than the concept 
            of international regimes. Human rights and democracy are seen as major 
            values/goals for people in the global governance system. The decentralized 
            structure is another characteristics of the global governance system.
 
 The term global governance had become very popular in the 1990s for 
            the following reasons.
 First, the end of Cold War demanded a creation of a new world order.
 Second, American scholars of international relations were asked to 
            propose a theory which legitimate the American-led world order.
 Third, the globalization of economy demanded a new political order 
            which would deal with the problems caused by globalization.
 
 Major issues discussed in the meeting were as follows.
 First, what is the relationship between globalization and global governance?
 The global governance system is generally seen as a system to deal 
            with global market failures and externalities.
 At the same time, the global governance system may work as a market-friendly 
            system; the global governance provides rules for stimulating the market 
            mechanism.
 
 Second, what is the American strategy in creating and managing the 
            global governance system? The US did not insist on the necessity of 
            global governance system in the issue-area where the US is at an advantage.
 However, the US demanded a formulation of the global governance system 
            where the US failed to establish a set of rules by the market mechanism.
 
 Third, is the concept of global governance effective in analyzing 
            the real situation of globalization?
 We concluded that it depends on the externality, the variety of actors, 
            and the complexity of individual issue-areas.
 
 
  GlobGov.pdf 
 Project to promote international cooperation for global environment 
            / Research on the assessment of climate change effects
 
 The subject of this research work was consigned by the New Energy 
            and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO).
 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) set three Working 
            Groups for the integration of the Third Assessment Report (to be completed 
            in 2001).
 GISPRI is supporting the preparation of the Third Assessment Report 
            through the cooperation to the Working Group 3 for energy policies 
            and technological development.
 The purpose of this survey for the fiscal 1999 was to assess the climate 
            change mitigation policies from the viewpoints of science and technology, 
            environment, and socio-economics.
 
 The survey was conducted by:
 
 (1) Reviewing the cost assessment methodologies to evaluate various 
            measures and technologies for global warming mitigation.
 
 (2) Analyzing and surveying tasks and resolutions to further promote 
            technology transfers worldwide.
 
 (3) Examining actual policy options as the policies and measures to 
            prevent global warming.
 
 The results were as follows:
 
 (1) Development of cost-analysis methodologies
 
 The cost analysis of technologies and options for global warming mitigation 
            requires scientific methodology that is common in the world. Because 
            of this, the studies on cost assessment methods, global warming control, 
            and other benefits were conducted.
 Important elements of cost assessment are baselines and the external 
            effects of climate change. To assess externalities, various methods 
            were developed and utilized but the cost assessment of climate change 
            mitigation measures embrace large uncertainties and it is also important 
            to classify the level of these uncertainties.
 
 (2) Tasks and resolutions for technology transfer issues
 
 In order to promote technology transfers, which have not been functioned 
            to the expected level, we analyzed its tasks and reviewed possible 
            solutions.
 The conclusion was that the transfer of so-called "environmentally 
            suitable technologies (EST) would be valuable and significant in creating 
            an favorable environment for technology transfers, and present a possibility 
            of dissemination in host countries. The promotion of such transfers, 
            however, has been hampered by the risks involved (such as distorted 
            incentives, insufficient legal protection, inappropriate regulations, 
            etc.). Therefore, the governments need to consider increasing the 
            demand for ESTs through technology development promotion, cost decrease, 
            and the reduction of commercial risks.
 
 (3) Assessment of various policy options
 
 We reviewed actual policy options as the policies and measures for 
            global warming mitigation.
 The result showed that it would be more practical to develop a portfolio 
            of policies and measures in order to address multiple policy objectives. 
            So that, it would be necessary to determine various policy objectives 
            and to properly combine various policies and measures in order to 
            fulfill such objectives. For this, it would be essential to fully 
            grasp "characteristics" of each policy and measure in a "real world."
 In this survey, we studied various issues of carbon tax and emission 
            trading as the economic instruments for national policies and measures.
 
 Thinking Japan in Asia(Phase 2)
 
 In this research, the committee confirmed the regional order of "East 
            Asia," ranging from Japan, Korea, Taiwan, coastal provinces of China, 
            and South East Asia, and Japan's position in such an order, in view 
            of the progress of regionalization in World governance, symbolized 
            by the formation of EU, NAFTA, and MERCOSUR. The Committee further 
            discussed the future direction and strategy for Japan. The fundamental 
            postures of Japan should be: (1) to consider Japan in Asia, while 
            viewing Japan in the world; (2) to consider Japan's national interests 
            as the first priority, but contemplate on "the harmonized co-existence 
            in Asia" and ensure common benefits between Japan and other countries 
            in the region to aim for mutual coexistence and prosperity on equal 
            terms; and (3) it is possible and preferable for Japan to promote 
            development of regional countries by leading the way in economics 
            and technologies, as it is extremely important for the region to have 
            some leaders, though not necessarily centering around Japan. In addition 
            to its maintenance of mutual relationships with Asian countries, Japan 
            needs to reform within itself. The reformation issues include:
 (1) Japan should be more open for goods, service and labour from Asia. 
            In this sense, acceleration of deregulation is needed so that Japan 
            will be more attractive for Asian neighbours.
 (2) What Japan is expected to do is to lead the region by utilizing 
            it's economic might and "soft power" such as technology and know -how 
            in industrial development and management system.
 (3) Reform the policy-making processes, and respond immediately to 
            any changes in economic or international environment through quick 
            decision-making and policy changes.
 
 To actualize above reformation requires strong political will of Japanese 
            people. With visions and political will, it is possible to take actions 
            that conform to the prospect for the future. In the issue of "Japan 
            in Asia," its outcome will depend on how Japanese people can have 
            vision and political will.
 
 
  Shira.pdf 
 The Comprehensive Prospect of Asia
 
 The 21st Century will certainly find the increased importance of Asia 
            in the world, but this will not necessarily mean equal and smooth 
            development throughout the area. Internally, the remnant of dictatorship 
            still remains, and externally, the global conditions are severer and 
            more restrictive in terms of environment, resource utilization and 
            population control than the time when western world and Japan built 
            the basis of their development. Furthermore, the region still embraces 
            the seeds of unpredictable trans-border confronta-tions such as in 
            Taiwan and Korean peninsula. In the future, Asia will likely change 
            depending on the overall interactions of these domestic and international 
            factors. GISPRI established this research committee, led by Prof. 
            Satoshi Amako (Aoyama Gakuin University) for the purpose of comprehensive 
            projections on Asia's next quarter century and conducted a six-month 
            study on the subject, which resulted in the publication of a report 
            (in Japanese) in May of 2000. The report was consisted of the following 
            subjects: Changes in Asian political regimes and the prospect for 
            the first quarter of 21st century, the USA-Japan security relationships 
            and the direction of Asian order, from People's Republic to federal 
            system in China, prospect of Indian economic development for the 21st 
            Century, "will Asian middle income people be able to promote democratization 
            in the next quarter century?", problems and prospects of Asian economy, 
            future of establishing multi-level regime in Asia, unstable Taiwan 
            Strait and Japan, prospect of unification and security issues of Korean 
            Peninsula, future security system in Asia-Pacific region, and idiosyncrasy 
            and prospects of environmental problems in Asia.
 
 The changes in Southeast Asian political and economic regimes and 
            the potentials of regional cooperation including Japan
 
 This research is to assess the changes of Southeast Asian countries 
            after the Asian financial crisis of 1997 and to position the involvement 
            of Japan in South Asia from a broader scope of international community 
            relationships. The committee analyzed, viewing the crisis as "catalysts", 
            how Southeast Asian structures and trends were affected and shaken 
            throughout the 1990's and how various participants, actors, and stakeholders 
            in the public and private sectors of Southeast Asian countries acted 
            and responded such changes.
 Fundamental recognition presented before the discussion was that Japan's 
            economic aids to Southeast Asia were viewed as a strategy in the multi-level 
            structures of Asia-Pacific politics including USA, and that the region 
            faced new globalization trend through the establishment of ASEAN 10, 
            which, in turn, required the changes in each country itself.
 The committee analyzed and assessed what kind of changes three major 
            ASEAN countries of Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand sustained in their 
            political and economic structures, which restructuring measures were 
            adopted and what were the purposes of such measures, based on the 
            data obtained by detailed survey of each country. The research clarified 
            the future national political issues faced by these three countries, 
            especially Indonesia.
 In addition, the research indicated that Japan's participation in 
            peace-keeping aids for Cambodia and development aids to three Indochina 
            countries promoted the multi-lateral political and security talks 
            in the region and improved bilateral relationship between Vietnam 
            and Japan. It also pointed out that it would be necessary to attain 
            an appropriate balance between Thailand, which wished to strengthen 
            influences over Indochina, and Vietnam, which would like to evade 
            such influences, in the cooperation project of Mekong River development.
 
 
  ASEAN.pdf 
 21st Century's development strategy
 
 This committee was established to advance from the conclusion of "2050 
            Sustainability Research Committee" (completed in fiscal 1997), which 
            pointed out that "the greatest problem for the 21st Century would 
            be the issue of equity." The Committee Chair is Prof. Kei Takeuchi, 
            President of International Faculty, Meiji Gakuin University, and completed 
            its study after two years of research starting from fiscal 1997 and 
            summarized the conclusion into the research report.
 The scope of the research was on Asia in early 21st Century (Thailand, 
            Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, etc.) and aimed to introduce what 
            kind of aids and roles Japan can provide as developed country in the 
            region in order to mitigate social problems and to bring prosperous 
            civil society in these countries. In its first year of fiscal 1998, 
            the Committee focused on the summarization of Asia's economic development 
            and economic crisis, social welfare issues in developing countries, 
            and index on these factors. In fiscal 1999, the Committee further 
            focused on the equity issues by addressing on the course of economic 
            development, agricultural issues, the system of development aids, 
            international finances, international cooperation, etc., from various 
            points of views.
 Furthermore, the research included the actual case studies on the 
            citizen-participating type poverty alleviation efforts in developing 
            countries in order to pursue the essence of poverty issues, considering 
            the doubts arisen among international organizations that conventional 
            development aids might not truly be instrumental for poverty alleviation. 
            The result of the survey was assessed with the connections to various 
            poverty alleviation strategies. The Committee planned to publish these 
            case studies on the web site of CITYNET to help policymakings of poverty 
            alleviation at various city governments and NGOs.
 
 case studies list
 
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